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The IEA's May oil market report warns that supply will fall 1.78 million barrels per day short of demand in 2026, reversing an earlier surplus. The agency says the market will stay undersupplied through the third quarter even if the conflict ends by early June, with the second-quarter deficit reaching about six million barrels per day.
A persistent deficit means crude and fuel costs are likely to stay high into the summer, which raises production, transport and fertilizer costs for feed buyers.
bairdmaritime.comReuters2026年5月13日在过去 116 次看涨的报告事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%（66% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +3.1%），20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 131 次看涨的报告事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.2%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +3.4%），20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
