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An OMFIF analysis says the renminbi has fallen substantially this year against the dollar, down nearly 8.5%, despite a rebound of about 5% from October lows. Capital outflows driven by higher U.S. rates are the main cause, even though China's current account surplus is large.
Authorities have acted to slow depreciation.
Persistent yuan weakness makes Chinese imports of dollar-priced commodities more expensive, which can weigh on demand. The outlook depends on whether U.S. rate peaks and China's reopening curb capital outflows.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。