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BNP Paribas Asset Management argues that China's exchange rate policy favours a stable renminbi, but the factors that supported the currency are turning negative. Its view is that the renminbi should weaken in 2022.
Possible US tariff exclusions for Chinese exports could also give the currency some support.
A weaker yuan would make Chinese purchases of US dollar-priced feed ingredients more expensive, which could dampen import demand. The view is an analyst forecast rather than a confirmed move.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。