
USDA's Outlook Board projects 2018 beef production 5.5% higher and pork output more than 4% higher. It cut its hog price forecast to $45.78 and expects steer prices to fall by about $5 year over year.
Rising beef and pork supplies with weaker packer demand point to lower meat prices, which reduces demand for feed as livestock margins tighten. Chinese tariff losses are expected to be short-term.
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 144 次看跌的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
USDA forecast higher 2018 beef production and lower steer prices, a bearish supply outlook weighing on deferred futures.