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Australia's Bureau of Meteorology has raised its El Niño outlook to watch, saying the chance of an event is about double a normal year. Eastern Australia has had a dry start to winter cropping, and farmers still planting may reconsider the risk.
A dry winter crop start in Australia combined with rising El Niño odds could cut eastern Australian wheat and barley plantings. That would support global wheat and barley prices.
farmonline.com.auGregor Heard2018年6月19日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
