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Analysts expect Australia's wheat crop to be less than half of last year's record 35.13 million tonnes, with frost and dryness emerging in Victoria. ABARES issued an unusual between-report statement flagging downside to its September estimate of 21.6 million tonnes.
A sharp Australian wheat and barley shortfall tightens export availability and supports Black Sea and other origin prices, lifting feed grain costs.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。