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USDA will pay the trade-damage aid in installments, with half in the fall and the rest in December or early 2019 if needed. The $6.2 billion in outlays starting in September includes $3.6 billion for soybean growers and equals half of USDA's estimate of trade impacts.
Payments equal to roughly half of estimated losses leave a residual gap for farmers, which may keep acreage and marketing decisions cautious and prolong pressure on soybean prices.
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 310 次看跌的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。