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Government payments to farmers have surged to historic levels under President Trump, with direct farm aid climbing from $11.5 billion in 2017 to more than $32 billion this year. The Agriculture Department is distributing the cash to offset losses from tariff disputes and the coronavirus pandemic.
Critics warn the payments are growing too fast with little congressional oversight.
Large ad hoc aid cushions farm income and can keep acreage and production high despite weak prices, which is bearish for feed grain prices over time. Policy risk of future aid cuts is a longer-term consideration for feed buyers.
politico.comRyan McCrimmon2020年7月14日在过去 310 次看跌的政策事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
