The US dollar index has weakened since mid-August, and the broad trade-weighted dollar has fallen further in September despite rising 10-year Treasury yields near 3.1%. Most G10 currencies gained against the dollar in September, with the yen the exception, while many emerging market currencies have fallen sharply this year.
The author attributes part of the dollar's decline to positioning and improving risk appetite.
A softer dollar tends to support commodity prices and helps emerging-market currencies, which can ease import costs for feed buyers in those markets. Its drivers remain unclear, so the trend may not persist.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。