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AMP's economist argues the US dollar's long-held reserve status is under pressure in 2025 because of policy uncertainty, debt sustainability concerns and possible tax changes for foreign holders of US assets. The underperformance partly reflects a return toward fair value after a decade of strength.
A sustained dollar decline would tend to support US commodity export prices and dollar-priced feed ingredients, but the piece is a longer-term outlook rather than a near-term supply shock.
amp.com.auDiana Mousina Deputy Chief Economist, AMP2025年6月30日在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
