A University of Missouri mid-year baseline outlook says U.S. meat and dairy supplies are growing, with per capita beef, pork, chicken and turkey up nearly 19 pounds from 2014 and a further increase expected in 2019. Export demand has grown in 2018, but trade and tariff uncertainty could leave supplies building at home.
Farm prices are projected to decline for fed cattle, hogs and chickens.
Growing herds and output, combined with uncertain export outlets, point to lower farm-level prices for cattle, hogs and chicken. Weaker meat prices also shift demand toward feed-intensive output, though the net effect on feed is mixed.
在过去 144 次看跌的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。