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USDA forecasts 2026 US pork production at 27.9 billion pounds, about 1.1% above 2025, with heavier dressed weights offsetting smaller hog numbers. July dressed weights averaged about 214 pounds, nearly four pounds above a year earlier.
Pork exports are forecast at 7.2 billion pounds, though shipments to Mexico are weak.
Growing pork output from heavier hogs adds supply into soft domestic and export demand, pressuring hog and wholesale pork prices. Weak Mexican demand limits the export offset.
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。