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Independent analyst Simon Quilty examines how Australia's drought has pushed cow prices down about 140c/kg since early 2017, roughly twice the fall in steer prices. He also questions whether cheaper cow meat will flow to the US and how the trade war affects cow markets.
Drought-driven herd liquidation is depressing Australian cow supply prices and could increase lower-cost beef exports to the US, adding competitive pressure on US lean beef trim.
在过去 18 次看跌的天气事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。