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Grain Central reports that recent rain in eastern Australia has eased farmers' concerns, but forecasts show a dry summer ahead. The Bureau of Meteorology puts the chance of El Niño in 2018 at 70 percent, and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also developing.
A dry Australian summer would cut wheat, barley and sorghum output and reduce Australian grain exports, supporting world grain prices. The effect is likely to build over the coming months as the season develops.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。