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CBH Group expects steady to firm Australian wheat, barley and canola markets into harvest. Smaller EU crops, down about 18Mt, and a Black Sea crop down 3-4Mt are tightening global supply.
Russia's larger crop is mostly far north of Black Sea ports, which limits its export competitiveness.
Lower EU and Black Sea output increases demand for Australian wheat and barley during the December to June shipping window, supporting export values. Barley's upside is capped somewhat by competition from corn in feed markets.
graincentral.comLiz Wells2020年10月19日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
CBH on the day flagged smaller EU and Black Sea crops tightening global supply, a firm supply-side signal consistent with a sharp barley price rise.
