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Commerzbank says China's corporate debt problem is adding volatility and vulnerability to the yuan. Chinese firms have increased offshore borrowing since 2016, which raises their exposure to currency risk and hedging demand.
The bank expects the PBoC to defend the 7.00 level into 2019 provided the trade conflict does not escalate.
Yuan weakness would make Chinese buyers of US soybeans and other farm goods less willing to buy, while a stable yuan supports import demand. The analysis is a currency outlook with limited direct price impact on feed commodities.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。