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TD Securities says Chinese economic data continues to decelerate rapidly with no near-term reversal expected. It expects policymakers to shift toward more aggressive monetary and fiscal responses, which could pressure the yuan.
TD has also revised its USD/CNY forecast lower while seeing near-term upside risks.
Weakening Chinese growth lowers feed demand from the largest importer, while policy easing could support the economy. The net effect on feed grain prices is unclear.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。