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Investors are hesitating over planned US soybean crushing plants in Wisconsin and New York because of the US-China trade war. China has largely stopped buying US beans and has bought from Brazil since its 25% tariff in July.
Crush margins are strong but seen as uncertain before the March 2 deadline.
Weaker expected crush capacity growth limits the outlet for US beans and the future meal and oil supply, which keeps pressure on soybean prices while the trade dispute is unresolved.
voanews.comReuters2018年12月20日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 224 次中性的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（43% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
