
Palm oil closed at its highest level since late July on concerns that dry weather and aging trees will hurt Indonesian output. Industry groups forecast production flat to 5% lower year on year, after earlier predicting a rise.
Soybean oil prices also provided support.
Lower Indonesian output, the world's largest palm producer, tightens global vegetable oil supply and supports prices. Stronger soybean oil adds further support as a substitute.
在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 184 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
On 2024-09-02 palm closed at its highest since late July on dry weather and aging-tree concerns, with output forecast flat to 5% lower and soyoil support, directly explaining the jump.
Concerns that dry weather and aging trees will cut Indonesian output (flat to 5% lower) pushed palm to a multi-week high, a direct supply-side driver heading into the move.