
The Congressional Budget Office projects the Market Facilitation Program will pay out $9.8 billion in fiscal 2019, pushing total farm program spending to $17.2 billion. Government payments are expected to reach their highest level since 2006, and a House-passed bill would add $3 billion in disaster aid.
Large trade-aid payments cushion farm margins and encourage farmers to keep producing despite weak export demand from China, which keeps feed grain supply ample. The CBO projection shifts corn enrollment toward PLC, a structural change rather than a direct price shock.
在过去 310 次看跌的政策事件之后,CORN 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 553 次中性的政策事件之后,SOY 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。