The International Grains Council estimates 2018/19 global wheat output at 737 million tonnes, about 30 million lower than last year, with cuts in the EU, Russia and Australia. Global wheat consumption is put at 745 million tonnes, and corn output is raised 28 million tonnes to 1,076 million.
Global grain final stocks are projected to fall more than 50 million tonnes to their lowest level since 2015/16.
Lower wheat output and falling stocks tighten the supply outlook and support wheat prices. The larger corn crop is bearish for corn and adds to feed supply.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。