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TD Securities strategist Sacha Tihanyi says the failure to hold a CCJ vote last week shows pension reform is less likely to pass before the summer recess. He expects a middling reform outcome and sees the real weakening toward 4.20 per US dollar in the near term.
Expected real weakness raises the BRL cost of dollar-priced feed imports for Brazilian buyers. A reform rally later in the year could reverse that pressure.
forexcrunch.comFX Street2019年4月23日在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
