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The Brazilian real fell to a 2.5-year low against the dollar, with USD/BRL moving above 4.00. Danske Bank analyst Jens Pedersen linked the move to worries that reform-oriented candidates have weak support ahead of the presidential election.
A sharply weaker real raises the cost of imported feed ingredients for Brazilian buyers and can pull in more Brazilian soybean and corn exports, supporting dollar-denominated grain prices. Analysts also flagged a possible central bank rate hike to defend the currency.
forexcrunch.comFX Street2018年8月22日在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Election-related worries about weak support for reform-oriented candidates drove the real to a 2.5-year low in the window, a direct sentiment/risk-premium driver.
