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Brazil's social security pension reform stalled after the Constitutional Commission (CCJ) failed to conclude the first stage of debate before Easter, and leadership discussed altering the draft at an early stage. President Bolsonaro's support base in Congress remains unstable, and ING expects persistent volatility in local financial markets and weak activity.
Delays to fiscal reform keep pressure on the real, which can raise the cost of imported feed inputs priced in dollars for Brazilian buyers. Weak domestic demand also limits local feed consumption growth.
think.ing.comGustavo Rangel Chief Economist, LATAM2019年4月18日在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
