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An analysis of global grain export shares shows Russia and Ukraine have overtaken the US and EU in exports, with Black Sea suppliers winning Mediterranean and Middle East markets on lower prices. The EU, US, Canada and Australia have lost share.
Harvest forecasts for 2019/20 point to ample supplies in the EU, Russia and Ukraine.
Larger, cheaper Black Sea supplies and good expected harvests point to continued pressure on world wheat and corn export prices, which weighs on feed grain costs for buyers.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。