
A Reuters poll of 21 analysts forecasts Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan will raise wheat exports 5% to 66 million tonnes in 2021/22, starting 1 July. The combined 2021 wheat crop is seen falling 1% to 124 million tonnes.
Russia's floating export tax, changed weekly, is cited as the main challenge for traders.
Larger Black Sea export supply adds competition for buyers and tends to pressure wheat export prices. Strong feed wheat demand, as buyers substitute away from expensive corn, partly offsets that pressure.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 729 次看涨的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。