Oklahoma State economist Derrell Peel says farmers are likely to forgo planting millions of acres of corn and soybeans due to the wet season. He says this is already affecting the beef supply chain from feedlots to cow-calf producers.
Larger protein supplies and softening demand are also cited as headwinds.
Prevented planting reduces expected grain supply, supporting corn and soybean prices and raising feed costs for cattle feeders. Cattle margins face pressure from this cost squeeze.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 29 次看跌的天气事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。