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Rainfall is advancing across Brazil, supporting second-crop corn and cotton in Mato Grosso, Goiás and the Cerrado Mineiro with 30 to over 70 mm expected this week. Rain may slow soybean harvesting in Mato Grosso and the north, while Paraná, São Paulo and southern Mato Grosso do Sul stay dry and warm.
Adequate moisture for safrinha corn is mildly bearish for corn yield risk, while harvest delays in Mato Grosso could slow soybean and meal exports at the margin.
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。