Widespread heavy rain and flooding disrupted calf and feeder cattle marketing and left soils waterlogged across much of the country. Swollen Mississippi, Ohio and Missouri rivers largely halted barge traffic, and only 49% of corn was planted as of May 19, well behind last year and the five-year average.
Planting delays raise the risk of lower early corn supply and firmer corn prices, while barge disruption raises freight costs and can limit grain movement. Heavier beef output and weaker cattle prices add pressure on the cattle side.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 18 次看跌的天气事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 29 次看跌的天气事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +2.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Flooding disrupted feeder marketing and delayed corn planting (49% planted), lifting feed cost expectations that pressure feeder prices.