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Wheat led a grain and livestock rally on Monday, with gains of 11 to 19.5 cents across the three wheat classes. Traders added weather premium ahead of extreme weather with red flag warnings in the Southern Plains, and funds covered short positions.
Feeder cattle hit all-time highs while soybeans slipped on South American harvest pressure and a weak NOPA crush report.
Dry, windy conditions in US winter wheat areas raise supply risk and support wheat prices, with corn following through spillover. Strong feeder cattle prices raise the cost of feeding for lots, while the soy complex is pressured by weak crush and Brazilian harvest supply.
agweb.com2025年3月17日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（42% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Wheat led the grain rally with 11 to 19.5 cent gains as traders added weather premium for Southern Plains red flag warnings and funds covered shorts, which is a supply-risk and positioning mechanism for HRW.
Same-day report of wheat leading the rally as weather premium was added for Southern Plains red flag warnings and funds covered shorts, which amplified the one-day jump.
