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Iowa State's outlook for winter 2019-2020 notes NOAA's CPC forecasts with neutral ENSO, giving equal chances for temperature in the Upper Midwest and a slight tilt toward wetter conditions in Iowa. The article says the winter storm track depends on the Arctic Oscillation, which cannot be forecast more than a few weeks ahead.
Uncertain winter weather in the Midwest adds modest risk to feedlot and transport costs and to next spring's planting outlook, but the signal is weak.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 20 次中性的天气事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +3.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。