
A bird flu outbreak has hit egg-laying farms in Iowa, the top egg-producing state, with roughly 25 million hens dead or slated for euthanasia. Nationwide, the USDA counts about 33.5 million chickens, turkeys and ducks affected in the worst avian influenza outbreak in US history.
Losing a large share of laying hens cuts egg supply and tightens feed demand from layers, while the outbreak raises the risk of further flock losses and trade restrictions. Lower layer numbers are a bearish signal for corn and soymeal demand over time, though the effect on feed prices is modest.
在过去 175 次看跌的疫病事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 167 次看跌的疫病事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。