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The American Soybean Association said the EPA's final 2020-21 RFS rule uses a three-year average of DOE-recommended waivers instead of actual EPA waivers. The rule holds 2021 biomass-based diesel volume flat at 2.43 billion gallons, with no growth for biodiesel.
Flat biodiesel volumes remove expected growth in soybean oil demand, which is bearish for soy oil prices and soybean crush economics. The rule also underestimates future small refinery exemptions, adding policy uncertainty.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 439 次中性的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。