
Argentine farmers increased forward selling of soybeans in late 2019 to avoid export taxes now in effect, according to a USDA GAIN report. Exporters had registered 5.52 million tons of forward sales by Dec.
18, against 588,000 tons a year earlier. USDA projects exports to fall from 9.1 million to 8.2 million tons, with production unchanged at 53 million tons.
Front-loaded sales have tightened Argentine offers, and expected slower farmer selling leaves less whole-bean supply in the near term. Shifts in export taxes could also redirect flows toward soy products.
在过去 554 次中性的政策事件之后,SOY 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 206 次中性的政策事件之后,SBM 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。