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Argentine farmers increased forward selling of 2019-20 soybeans in the last four months of 2019 to avoid higher export taxes that are now in effect. Exporters had registered 5.52 million tonnes of forward sales by Dec.
18, versus 588,000 tonnes a year earlier, according to a USDA GAIN report. USDA expects exports to fall from 9.1 million tonnes in 2018-19 to 8.2 million this year.
Heavy forward sales front-loaded Argentine supply, and farmer selling is expected to slow, which tightens near-term offers of whole beans and meal. Export taxes that favour soy products over beans could shift crush and export flows.
world-grain.comArvin Donley2020年1月9日在过去 554 次中性的政策事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 206 次中性的政策事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
