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Credit Agricole said the dollar's underperformance reflects building expectations of Fed rate cuts tied to virus concerns over US growth. It argued that monetary easing alone cannot offset a global slowdown if the virus becomes a pandemic.
Fiscal talk in Germany was noted as possibly late.
The analysis points to continued dollar weakness while Fed cut bets persist, which supports dollar-priced commodities. Stalled global growth would still weigh on overall commodity demand.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。