
AgRural cut its 2019/20 Brazil soybean crop estimate to 124.3 million tons from 125.6 million, due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul. Brazil is set for its lowest soybean productivity since 2011/12, though other states partly offset the losses.
Harvest was 59% complete by March 12, slightly ahead of the five-year average.
A smaller Brazilian soybean crop reduces export supply and supports soybean and meal prices, especially as Brazil is the main competitor to U.S. exports. The effect is moderated by offsetting gains elsewhere in Brazil.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。