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Dry weather across Europe and the Black Sea has reduced soil moisture as crops emerge, with below-average rainfall over the last four weeks. The Australian commentary forecasts EU-27 plus UK 2020/21 wheat output down about 6% to 145 million tonnes, and French soft wheat area falling 7.5% to a 17-year low after wet planting conditions.
A forecast 6% drop in EU wheat output and reduced French area tighten global wheat supplies, supporting wheat prices and feed-grain alternatives if rain does not arrive before late April.
grainbrokers.com.au2020年4月16日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
