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An ISEAS report says 2023-2024 is now an official El Niño year, which typically brings drought and heat to Southeast Asia. It projects El Niño will strengthen into late 2023 and early 2024, affecting winter and spring rice crops, and expects Thailand and Vietnam to reduce 2023-24 rice output.
Projected production losses in major exporters and in China and India could cut global rice supply and lift prices. Food security concerns may also encourage precautionary buying.
iseas.edu.sgElyssa Ludher, Paul Teng2023年7月12日在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后，稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
