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The USDA Economic Research Service cut its 2022 all-milk price forecast by 95 cents to $25.20 per cwt and its 2023 forecast by $1.65 to $22.50. The cut follows higher-than-expected summer milk output, with July production up 0.2 percent year on year.
Class III and Class IV price forecasts for 2022 were also lowered.
Higher milk output and lower price forecasts signal weaker dairy margins ahead. Lower milk prices reduce the profitability of dairy farms and may eventually lower feed demand.
在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。