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A World Fertilizer analysis reports weak profitability for Indian phosphate and potash producers through FY2016 to FY2020. Government fertilizer subsidy arrears are projected to rise from about Rs 470 billion to Rs 570 billion by FY2021, with risk of a much larger backlog if budgets are cut.
Subsidy payment delays may strain Indian producers and affect their import and output decisions, which can influence global urea and phosphate demand and prices.
在过去 26 次中性的政策事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(27% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.1% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -2.5%。
在过去 29 次中性的政策事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。