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Rabobank's North American Agribusiness Review warns that US meat markets face turbulence in Q4 2020 from rising COVID-19 cases, the election, US-China tensions and the lack of stimulus. Beef output is down about 1% from 2019 while pork production is recovering and hog slaughter is near 2019 levels.
Expected volatility and uneven pork supply recovery add uncertainty to hog and cattle prices and to feed demand from US livestock producers.
在过去 37 次宏观事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 18 次中性的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。