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Morgan Stanley strategists advised buying euro-dollar dips and forecast the DXY index would fall 4% by the end of 2021, with the dollar weakness front-loaded in the first half. EUR/USD was trading near 1.1995, close to the 1.20 level where the ECB could push back.
A weaker dollar over 2021 would lift dollar-priced commodity import demand from outside the US, though this is a bank forecast rather than a new market shock.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。