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On June 26, 2025 the dollar fell to its lowest level since 2021 against the euro and sterling. Futures traders priced a 23% chance of a July Fed cut and about 93% odds of a cut by September.
Traders expected about 66 basis points of cuts by year-end.
Expected Fed rate cuts reduce the dollar's yield advantage, which weakens the currency and tends to support dollar-denominated commodity prices. Lower US rates can also ease financing costs for feed and livestock operations.
reuters.comKaren Brettell2025年6月26日在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
