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Credit Suisse says USD/BRL could fall as low as 5.00 in the near term on strong inflation data and a supportive external outlook. The bank remains cautious because of political risk and flow conditions.
It expects a tactical pullback toward 5.30-5.35 to become attractive afterward.
A move lower in USD/BRL makes Brazilian grain and soy exports more expensive in dollar terms relative to local currency costs, which can weigh on export prices. It is a forecast, and the bank itself expects a later pullback.
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。