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The Brazilian real jumped more than 2.5% to a six-month high of 5.0380 per dollar after the central bank kept its Selic rate at a record low 2.00%. For the first time, Copom outlined a scenario in which its forward guidance could be withdrawn.
Retail sales also hit a record high in October.
A hint that rate cuts are ending supports the real and lowers USD/BRL, which matters for Brazilian currency-linked import costs for feed ingredients. The move also reflects improving domestic demand.
在过去 73 次中性的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。