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Dairy product prices on the CME fell through June after US tariffs on Mexican steel and aluminum and on some Chinese goods triggered retaliation. Mexico announced a tariff on US cheese, and China targeted some dairy products along with corn and soybeans.
Cheddar barrels fell from $1.59 in early June to $1.32 by end-June.
Mexico is the largest export market for US cheese, so retaliatory tariffs cut export demand and pressure domestic dairy prices. Feed buyers should expect weaker milk and dairy-byproduct pricing while the trade dispute continues.
farmprogress.comFran O'Leary2018年7月2日在过去 49 次看跌的贸易事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Retaliatory Mexican and Chinese tariffs on US dairy cut export demand and pushed cheese barrels sharply lower, directly pressuring Class III futures.
Trade dispute with Mexico and China retaliatory tariffs on cheese drove cheese prices lower through June, lowering Class III value.
Trade dispute retaliation drove cheese price declines through June, setting up weakness carried into the window.
