
USDA's February WASDE raised its 2021 US milk production forecast to 227.4 billion pounds, up 700 million from the prior month, with 2020 output estimated at 223.1 billion pounds. The agency cut its 2021 all-milk price forecast by about $1.15/cwt versus 2020, mainly on lower Class III prices, and expects higher feed costs.
Dairy cow numbers near a 25-year high point to more milk supply, which pushes Class III and all-milk prices lower and weighs on dairy-linked demand for feed. Higher expected feed costs squeeze the margin for buyers of feed ingredients.
在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。