
Chinese soybean crushers are expected to curtail operations sharply in coming months because of harvest delays in top exporter Brazil. Drought delayed Brazilian planting in late 2020 and rains have disrupted this year's harvest.
China's soymeal futures rose 6% in February to 3,587 yuan per tonne, and domestic soybean prices rallied 8%.
Reduced crush in China lowers meal output and is likely to draw down inventories, supporting soymeal and soybean prices. Brazilian supply delays tighten the global soybean balance.
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。