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Ethanol margins in the Corn Belt fell to negative $3.92 a gallon, the lowest since at least 2010, according to Refinitiv data. Natural gas prices hit multi-year highs during the cold snap, prompting some producers to cut ethanol output and sell their gas for a profit.
Lower ethanol output reduces corn grind and DDGS production, which is bearish for corn and DDGS prices. Higher natural gas costs raise processing expenses and support natural gas prices.
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 221 次看涨的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +3.3%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.2% 至 +14.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。